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KP Talks Dollars and SenseAuthor: Kevin Peranio
KP Talks Dollars and Sense helps you learn financial literacy and provides real-time updates on all things housing, finance, and real estate with your host Kevin Peranio. As an owner and C-level executive for 20 plus years in finance, KP is here to serve you with all of his knowledge and experience. Tune in each week for more episodes. Kevin Peranio does not render or offer to render personalized investment or tax advice through KP Talks Dollars and Sense. The information provided is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, tax, investment or legal advice. Language: en-us Contact email: Get it Feed URL: Get it iTunes ID: Get it |
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What a Six Trillion Fed Balance Sheet Signals Now
Episode 26
Monday, 8 December, 2025
The Fed, Liquidity & The Slowdown Ahead: What’s Really Moving the EconomyFrom Laguna Beach at the California Mortgage Bankers Association retreat, KP breaks down the major forces shaping today’s markets — from weakening labor data to the Fed’s tightening cycle and the growing need for more liquidity in the system.As quantitative tightening winds down and global central banks shift their stance, KP explains how the Fed’s balance sheet must grow with GDP, why the market continues to lead the Fed, and where consumers are starting to show real cracks — from ADP softness to rising long-term unemployment.It’s an economy balancing slowing momentum and cautious optimism: cooling inflation vs. fragile spending, hawkish rate cuts vs. market resilience, and global policy changes vs. money flows searching for direction.Episode Highlights:00:00 – Live from Laguna Beach: CMBA insights & the state of the market01:12 – End of QT? Why liquidity must expand as GDP grows02:28 – Labor weakness: ADP slowdown, small-biz job losses & long-term unemployment03:44 – Consumer fatigue: savings drawdowns, credit stress & shifting demand05:02 – What to expect at the next Fed meeting: hawkish cut or pause?06:20 – Global moves: Bank of Japan rate hike risks & shifting money flows07:36 – Inflation & PCE: what the data really signals08:48 – Market reaction: equities, crypto & the Santa Claus rally setup10:05 – Housing & mortgage implications in a slowing economy11:22 – Why the doomsayers were wrong — and what to watch nextStay informed. Stay ahead. Stay in the market.🔗 https://linktr.ee/kptalksdollarsandsense#Economy #FederalReserve #InterestRates #LaborMarket #Liquidity #Inflation #PCEReport #HousingMarket #MarketUpdate #KPTalksDollarsAndSense
