 |
The Surplus PopulationiTunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-s Author: The Surplus Population
iTunes: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/the-surplus-population/id1166407557 GooglePlay: https://goo.gl/app/playmusic?ibicom.google.PlayMusic&isi691797987&iusgoogleplaymusic&linkhttps://play.google.com/music/m/Ioet6s6y6bwps5qjzwsg7tjj5iu?t%3DThe_Surplus_Population Email: thesurpluspopulation@gmail.com Twitter: twitter.com/surpluspop Soundcloud: soundcloud.com/the-surplus-population Reddit: reddit.com/r/TheSurplusPopulation/ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/thesurpluspopulation Language: en Genres: Science Contact email: Get it Feed URL: Get it iTunes ID: Get it |
Listen Now...
3-To Believe Or Not To Believe
Sunday, 12 February, 2017
In this episode, we discuss what sources we can trust. Has science been wrong all this time? Notes: iTunes: The Surplus Population thesurpluspopulation@gmail.com Twitter: @surpluspop soundcloud.com/the-surplus-population reddit.com/r/TheSurplusPopulation facebook.com/thesurpluspopulation 0:00:35 http://www.gq.com/story/tila-tequila-flat-earth 0:03:15 “Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science” http://science.sciencemag.org/content/349/6251/aac4716 0:04:40 “Weekly Fluctuations in Risk Tolerance and Voting Behaviour” Jet G. Sanders, Rob Jenkins 0:05:00 https://xkcd.com/435/ 0:06:10 “Believe it or not: how much can we rely on published data on potential drug targets?” Nature, Answer? 25% http://www.nature.com/nrd/journal/v10/n9/full/nrd3439-c1.html 0:06:10 “Drug development: Raise standards for preclinical cancer research” Nature http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v483/n7391/full/483531a.html 0:08:00 “Results of social science research have failed to confirm any of these concerns about children of lesbian and gay parents” http://www.apa.org/about/policy/parenting.aspx 0:08:00 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EqIIeGmhL2Q 0:09:05 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Milgram_experiment 0:10:45 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LGBT_parenting#Methodology 0:15:45 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Priming_(psychology) 0:16:20 Number of trials to make this effect negligible: 1-0.6^14 = 99% 0:19:30 “Visualize Success if You Want to Fail” - Forbes 0:25:50 “Almost 500 Foods Contain The 'Yoga Mat' Compound. Should We Care?” NPR 0:30:00 “The relationship between confidence and accuracy” Kevin Krug http://dev.cjcenter.org/_files/apcj/3_1_confidenceandaccuracy.pdf 0:34:20 False memory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_memory 0:34:20 Flashbulb memory https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flashbulb_memory 0:35:40 “Expert political judgement: How good is it? How can we know?” Phillip E. Tetlock http://psycnet.apa.org/index.cfm?fa=search.displayRecord&uid=2005-09833-000#toc 0:36:35 “Pundits predict no more accurately than a coin toss” http://www.hamilton.edu/news/story/pundits-as-accurate-as-coin-toss-according-to-study 0:39:00 “Even Donald Trump’s supporters are ashamed of him: Many backers too embarrassed to admit it to pollsters” Salon’s take http://www.salon.com/2015/12/24/even_donald_trumps_supporters_are_ashamed_of_him_many_backers_too_embarrassed_to_admit_it_to_pollsters/ 0:39:00 “Why does Donald Trump perform better in online versus live telephone polling?” The actual poll http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Morning-Consult-Donald-Trump-online-versus-live-polling-methods-study1.pdf 0:43:45 Powerball meme http://www.snopes.com/powerball-wealth-sharing-meme/ 0:46:45 http://www.snopes.com/1998-trump-people-quote/ 0:50:45 “The White House Is Not a Metronome” By Nate Silver https://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/07/18/the-white-house-is-not-a-metronome/
