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We Kalled ItAuthor: Phillip Kall
An astrophysicist, former college football player, and actuary put their heads together to give you the insights needed to beat the books! Language: en Contact email: Get it Feed URL: Get it iTunes ID: Get it |
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The Shootout Index: Which NFL Teams Should You Draft in Fantasy Football?
Monday, 24 August, 2026
Can a simple scoring model make fantasy football drafting easier?In this episode, Phillip and Ken break down the “Shootout Index,” a Claude AI-built ranking system that combines projected game totals, expected scoring, defensive performance, and win totals to identify the NFL offenses most likely to produce fantasy points.The discussion covers which teams and players are worth targeting, where the model may be wrong, and which offenses could deliver the most value on draft day. They debate the fantasy outlooks for the Rams, Packers, Chargers, Bills, 49ers, Commanders, Saints, Raiders, Bengals, Cowboys, Ravens, Lions, Colts, Buccaneers, Jaguars, Chiefs, Patriots, Eagles, Panthers, Cardinals, and more.YouTube Chapters00:00 — Intro and the Shootout Index01:46 — Cowboys: the top-ranked offense and CeeDee Lamb06:37 — Bengals: elite talent and injury concerns09:19 — Rams: value across a high-powered offense16:08 — Lions: coaching, offensive line, and regression concerns18:18 — Bills: Josh Allen, James Cook, and DJ Moore24:01 — Bills coaching continuity and offensive outlook26:23 — Ravens: Lamar Jackson, Mark Andrews, and concentrated value28:58 — 49ers: trusting Kyle Shanahan and the running-back pipeline32:47 — Commanders: Jayden Daniels, Stefon Diggs, and Terry McLaurin34:11 — Packers, Colts, and Seahawks: disagreement and regression38:31 — Buccaneers and Jaguars: quarterbacks, weapons, and value44:02 — Chiefs, Chargers, Patriots, and Eagles: winning teams to target49:06 — Giants, Saints, and the “one player or nothing” strategy53:30 — Broncos and JK Dobbins: talent versus injury risk55:14 — Raiders: garbage-time upside and Brock Bowers58:12 — Cardinals: tempting talent and major uncertainty1:01:22 — Lower-tier teams and surprise breakout candidates1:05:49 — Wrap-up and final fantasy draft adviceKey topics include:Why high-scoring teams create easier fantasy draft decisionsWhether the Cowboys, Bengals, Rams, and Bills are correctly rankedFantasy value from players such as CeeDee Lamb, Joe Burrow, Puka Nacua, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, Christian McCaffrey, Brock Bowers, and othersWhy the Packers, Chargers, and Saints may offer strong draft valueWhich teams are best approached with a “one player or nothing” strategyLate-round dart throws, rookie receivers, running-back handcuffs, and best-ball targetsThe risks of relying on preseason projections and training-camp reportsThis episode was recorded before preseason Week 1. Use the Shootout Index as a starting point, then adjust for injuries, depth-chart changes, ADP, and your league’s scoring settings.If you enjoyed the episode, like the video, subscribe, and share your favorite fantasy football targets in the comments.
