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Is Bitcoin About to Break Lower? Key Levels, ETFs & Rate Hikes
Episode 299
Wednesday, 11 November, 2026
Is Bitcoin about to break higher or lower? Crypto has landed at one of its most important decision points of the year. And Pav is flying solo this week (get well soon, Ted!) and cracking out the screen share for a full market breakdown. He walks through why Bitcoin is sitting below its September and October lows, the 50-week moving average everyone is watching, and what spot ETF outflows say about who is in control. Pav also discusses Google's historic share price plunge and the cracks forming in the AI trade, what a divided Washington could mean for tech and the Clarity Act, and why falling bond yields suggest money is moving into risk-off mode. Plus, Pav shares why he's watching 65K as the next level, why a potential 25-basis-point US rate hike on December 9 matters, the "line in the sand" levels to watch over the next two weeks, and how oil prices and peace talks could swing markets either way. You'll hear: 00:26 Pav goes solo, and why this week's screen share matters. 02:23 Bitcoin at a decision point: the September and October lows. 04:04 The 50-week moving average explained, and why Pav is watching 65K next. 06:27 ETF outflows: who is really in control, buyers or sellers? 07:22 Beyond crypto: Google's historic plunge and cracks in the AI trade. 08:44 The US midterms: what a divided Washington could mean for tech and the Clarity Act. 11:30 Back to Bitcoin: falling bond yields, risk-off mode and where the money is going. 16:13 The price of money: the December 9 rate hike and this week's inflation data. 19:00 The line in the sand: the levels Pav is watching over the next two weeks. … and much more! Want to see what we’re looking at every episode? Watch the YouTube version of the podcast here. Ready to start? Get $10 of FREE Bitcoin on Swyftx when you sign up and verify: https://trade.swyftx.com.au/register/?promoRef=tappingintocrypto10btc To get the latest updates, hit subscribe and follow us over on the gram @tappingintocrypto or X @tappingintocrypto If you can’t wait to learn more, check out these blogs from our friends over at Swyftx. This podcast provides general market commentary and is for educational and entertainment purposes only. It is NOT financial advice. We are NOT licensed financial advisors. Investing in cryptocurrency carries risk. You should always conduct your own research and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions. Please read Swyftx's Terms and Conditions and Risk Disclosure statement before investing.













